Tuesday, April 11, 2006
CA 50 Special Election today
CA 50 holds a special election today to replace the convicted Randy "Duke" Cunningham. In traditionally Republican San Diego County, this election is being seen as something of an indicator of the Dems' chances to retake the House in the fall. Real Clear Politics has some thoughts on why any prediction based on today's outcome might not hold true.
Given the large field of candidates, it's possible no one will win a majority today, forcing a runoff . Republican votes look to be very divided, but the Dems seem to have united behind Francine Busby, making a Democrat victory a real possibility. GOP apathy and a former (R) office holder in prison drag down their side. If the Dems don't win today, their odds drop substantially in a runoff election, when Republicans will be far more focused.
You can bet the Dems will be working hard to get out the vote, let's just hope no GOP operatives get any big ideas.
Given the large field of candidates, it's possible no one will win a majority today, forcing a runoff . Republican votes look to be very divided, but the Dems seem to have united behind Francine Busby, making a Democrat victory a real possibility. GOP apathy and a former (R) office holder in prison drag down their side. If the Dems don't win today, their odds drop substantially in a runoff election, when Republicans will be far more focused.
You can bet the Dems will be working hard to get out the vote, let's just hope no GOP operatives get any big ideas.
California Elections | Congressional Elections | Brian Bilbray | Francine Busby
# posted @ 9:29 AM 
